Publications

Publications

Georgoulis, M. K., et al, 2021, The Flare Likelihood and Region Eruption Forecasting (FLARECAST) Project: Flare forecasting in the big data & machine learning era, Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, under review

Mumford, S., et al, 2020, SunPy: A Python package for Solar Physics, Journal of Open Source Software, doi: 10.21105/joss.01832

Barnes, W. T., et al, 2020, The SunPy Project: Open Source Development and Status of the Version 1.0 Core Package, Astrophysical Journal, doi: 10.3847/1538-4357/ab4f7a.

Guerra, J. A., Murray, S. A., Bloomfield, D. S., Gallagher, P. T., 2020, Ensemble forecasting of major solar flares: methods for combining models, Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, doi:​10.1051/swsc/2020042.

Guerra, J. A., Murray, S. A., Doornbus, E., Meeting Report: The Use of Ensembles in Space Weather Forecasting, Space Weather, doi: 10.1029/2020SW002443.

Park, S.-H., et al, 2020,  A Comparison of Flare Forecasting Methods. IV. Evaluating Consecutive-Day Forecasting Patterns, Astrophysical Journal, doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab65f0.

Bingham, S., Murray, S. A., Guerrero, A., Glover, A., Thorn, P., 2019, Summary of the plenary sessions at European Space Weather Week 15: space weather users and service providers working together now and in the future, Journal Space Weather Space Climate, doi:10.1051/swsc/2019031.

Leka, K.D., et al, 2019, A Comparison of Flare Forecasting Methods. III. Systematic Behaviors of Operational Solar Flare Forecasting Systems, Astrophysical Journal, doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab2e11.

Leka, K.D., et al, 2019, A Comparison of Flare Forecasting Methods. II. Benchmarks, Metrics and Performance Results for Operational Solar Flare Forecasting Systems, Astrophysical Journal Supplement Series, Astrophysical Journal Supplemental Series, doi:10.3847/1538-4365/ab2e12.

Halford, A. J., et al, 2019, Application Usability Levels: A Framework for Tracking Project Product Progress, Journal Space Weather Space Climate, doi:10.1051/swsc/2019030.

Carley, E. P., Hayes , L., Murray, S. A., Morosan , D., Shelley , W., Vilmer , N., Gallagher, P. T., 2019, Loss-cone instability modulation due to a magnetohydrodynamic sausage mode oscillation in the solar corona, Nature Communications, doi:10.1038/s41467-019-10204-1.

Morosan, D., Carley, E. P., Hayes, L., Murray, S. A., Zucca, P., Fallows, R., McCauley, J., Kilpua, E., Mann, G., Vocks, C., Gallagher, P. T., 2019, Multiple Regions of Shock Accelerated Particles during a Solar Coronal Mass EjectionNature Astronomy, doi:10.1038/s41550-019-0689-z.

Garton, T. M., Murray, S. A., Gallagher, P. T., 2018, Expansion of High Speed Solar Wind Streams From Coronal Holes Through the Inner Heliosphere, Astrophysical Journal Letters, 869, L12, doi: 10.3847/2041-8213/aaf39a.

Murray, S. A., 2018, The Importance of Ensemble Techniques for Operational Space Weather Forecasting, Space Weather (Invited Commentary), 16, 777–783, doi: 10.1029/2018sw001861.

Murray, S. A., Guerra, J. A., Zucca, P., Park, S. H., Carley, E., Gallagher, P. T., Vilmer, N., Bothmer, V., 2018, 
Connecting Coronal Mass Ejections to their Solar Active Region Sources: Combining Results from the HELCATS and FLARECAST Projects, Solar Physics, 293, 4, 60, doi:10.1007/s11207-018-1287-4.

Garton, T. M., Gallagher, P. T., Murray, S. A., 2018, Automated Coronal Hole Identification via Multi-Thermal Intensity Segmentation, Journal Space Weather Space Climate, 8, A02, doi:10.1051/swsc/2017039.

Sharpe, M. A., Murray, S. A., 2017, Verification of Space Weather Forecasts issued by the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre, Space Weather (Editorial Highlight), 15, 1383–1395, doi:10.1002/2017SW001683.  

Murray, S. A., Sharpe, M., Bingham, S., and Jackson, D. R., 2017, Flare forecasting at the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre, Space Weather, 15, doi:10.1002/2016SW001579.

Murray, S. A., Henley, E. M., Jackson, D. R, and Bruinsma, S. L., 2015, Assessing the performance of thermospheric modelling with data assimilation throughout solar cycles 23 and 24Space Weather, 13, doi:10.1002/2015SW001163.

Murray, S. A., 2014, Space Weather: the Importance of Observations, RMS Meeting Report, Weather, 69: 9, 244, doi: 10.1002/wea.2282.

Murray, S. A., Bloomfield, D. S., and Gallagher, P. T., 2013, Evidence for Partial Taylor Relaxation from Changes in Magnetic Geometry and Energy during a Solar FlareAstronomy & Astrophysics, 550: A119, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201219964.

Murray, S. A., Bloomfield, D. S., and Gallagher, P. T., 2012, The Evolution of Sunspot Magnetic Fields Associated with a Solar FlareSolar Physics, 277: 1, 45-57, doi:10.1007/s11207-011-9796-4.

Talks

Murray, S. A., September 2021 (invited), Irish National Astronomy Meeting, Online.

Murray, S. A., July 2021 (invited), UK National Astronomy Meeting, Online.

Murray, S. A., June 2021 (invited), Second Jack Eddy Cross-Disciplinary Symposium, Online.

Murray, S. A., May 2021 (invited), NASA Goddard Heliophysics Science Division Seminar, Online.

Murray, S. A., January 2021 (invited), Finding the right metric: solar flare forecast evaluation, Machine Learning for Planetary Space Physics Seminar, Online.

Murray, S. A., December 2020 (invited), Research to operations requirements: a forecasting centre perspective, American Geophysical Fall Union Meeting, Online.

Murray, S. A., September 2020 (invited), Predicting Solar Eruptions: what has machine learning done for us? Virtual Workshop on Machine Learning, Data Mining, and Data Assimilation in Geospace (LMAG2020).

Murray, S. A., July 2020 (invited), Predicting Solar Eruptions: what has machine learning done for us? Virtual Geospace Modeling Environment (VGEM) Workshop.

Murray, S. A., March 2020 (invited), Solar Eruptive Forecasting, Astrophysics Research Centre Seminar Programme, Queens University Belfast, UK.

Murray, S. A., January 2020 (invited), Solar Eruptive Forecasting,​ Astronomy Group Seminar Programme , University of Southampton, UK.

Murray, S. A., July 2019 (invited), Research to operations for space weather forecasting, Python in Astronomy, Baltimore, USA.

Murray, S. A., July 2019 (invited), Fostering scientific collaboration for improved space weather forecasting, Asia Oceania Geosciences Society, Singapore, Malaysia.

Murray, S. A., July 2019, Sunspotter: Solar Physics in the Classroom, National Astronomy Meeting, Lancaster, UK.

Murray, S. A., June 2019 (invited), Connecting CMEs to their solar active region sources, UK Solar Orbiter Workshop, London, UK.

Murray, S. A., April 2019 (invited), Fostering scientific collaboration for improved space weather forecasting, European Geophysical Union Meeting, Vienna, Austria.

Murray, S. A., April 2019 (invited), Ensembles for space weather forecasting,
Space Weather Workshop, Boulder, USA.

Murray, S. A., February 2019 (invited), Fostering scientific collaboration for improved space weather forecasting, Chapman Conference on Space Weather Forecasting, Pasadena, USA.

Murray, S. A., et al, December 2018, Space rain: what will the space around our world be like tomorrow? American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington DC, USA.

Murray, S. A., et al, November 2018, Sunspotter: Solar Physics in the Classroom, European Space Weather Week 2018, Leuven, Belgium.

Murray, S. A., et al, May 2018 (invited), Learning from terrestrial weather: improved verification measures for space weather forecasting, Triennial Earth Science Summit, Virginia, USA.

Murray, S. A., et al, April 2018 (contributed), Ensemble flare forecasting: using numerical weather prediction techniques to improve space weather operations, EWASS 2018, Liverpool, UK.

Murray, S. A., January 2018 (invited), Solar Eruptive Forecasting,​ CFSA seminar, University of Warwick, UK.

Murray, S. A. et al, December 2017 (invited), Ensemble solar flare forecasting: using numerical weather prediction techniques to improve space weather operations, AGU Fall Meeting 2017, New Orleans, USA.

Murray, S. A. et al, September 2017 (contributed), Verification of Flare Forecasts at the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre, European Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Dublin, Ireland.

Murray, S. A. et al, July 2017 (contributed), Connecting Coronal Mass Ejections to their Solar Active Region Sources: Combining Results from the HELCATS and FLARECAST Projects, IAU 335: Space Weather of the Heliosphere: Processes and Forecasts , Exeter, UK.

Murray, S. A. et al, May 2017 (invited), Space Weather Research at TCD, 3rd Annual Emergency Management Research Symposium, DCU Business School, Dublin Ireland.

Murray, S. A., et al, April 2017 (invited), Solar Flare Prediction Team Progress, International CCMC-LWS Working Meeting, Florida, USA.

Murray, S. A., January 2017 (invited), Flare forecasting – a beginners guide, First FLARECAST User Workshop, Exeter, United Kingdom.

Murray, S. A., et al, November 2016 (invited), The CORSAIR algorithm – connecting the HELCATS and FLARECAST projects, European Space Weather Week 13, Ostend, Belgium.

Murray, S. A., November 2016, HELCATS Task 3.3: Inverse Modelling, 5th Steering Committee Meeting, Dublin, Ireland.

Murray, S. A., et al, October 2016 (invited), Automatic identification of the solar surface sources of CMEs in the HELCATS database, ISSI Flare Forecasting International Team Meeting, Bern, Switzerland

Murray, S. A., et al, September 2016 (contributed), HELCATS – Connecting Coronal Mass Ejections to their Solar Active Region Sources, Irish National Astronomy Meeting, Dublin, Ireland.

Bingham, S., et al, September 2016 (contributed), Verification of solar flare forecasts at the UK Met Office, European Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Trieste, Italy.

Murray, S. A., February 2016 (invited), Space Weather Operations and Research at the Met Office, University of Sheffield Solar Physics and Space Plasma Research Center, Sheffield, UK.

Murray, S. A., et al., January 2016 (invited), Geomagnetic storm forecasting, University of Bath Mathematical Integrative Think Tank.

Thorn, P., and Murray, S. A., October 2015 (invited), An Overview of Met Office Space Weather Operations and Research, Royal Observatory Belgium Seminar, Brussels, Belgium.

Murray, S. A., July 2015 (invited), Transitioning space weather models to operations at the Met Office, National Astronomy Meeting, LLandudo, Wales.

Murray, S. A., and Jackson, D., February 2015 (invited), Extending the Met Office Unified Model to the thermosphere, and coupling it with TIEGCM, RAS Specialist Discussion Meeting, London, UK.

Murray, S. A., January 2015 (invited), Flare Forecasting at the Met Office, ISSI Team Meeting, Bern, Switzerland.

Murray, S. A., January 2015, FLARECAST: Dissemination to government and industry, FLARECAST Kick-Off Meeting, Brussels, Belgium.

Murray, S. A., et al., September 2014 (contributed), Space weather services and research at the Met Office, European Solar Physics Meeting, Dublin, Ireland.

Murray, S. A., and Bocquet, F., April 2014 (invited), Met Office Space Weather Research, Kirtland Air Force Base Visit, Albuquerque, NM, USA.

Henley, E., et al., November 2013 (contributed), ATMOP splinter session: WP5 and WP6 results, European Space Weather Week 10, Antwerp, Belgium.

Murray, S. A., et al., March 2012 (contributed), Sunspot Magnetic Geometry and Energy Changes associated with a Solar Flare, UK-Germany National Astronomy Meeting, Manchester, UK.

Murray, S. A., et al., April 2011 (contributed), Evolution of sunspot magnetic fields associated with flaring, UK National Astronomy Meeting, Llandudno, Wales.

Murray, S. A., July 2009, Complex Magnetic Topologies of Solar Active Regions, USO Summer School on Solar Magnetism, Dwingeloo, Netherlands.

Meetings

Planetary Radio Emissions Conference, September 2022,​ Dublin, Ireland.

Space Weather Strategy, White Papers, and Roadmaps: Pathways to the Future, December 2021, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting Session.

Irish National Astronomy Meeting, September 2020, Dublin, Ireland (virtual due to COVID-19).

Python in Astronomy Conference, April 2020, Dublin, Ireland​ (virtual due to COVID-19).

International Space Weather Action Teams Inaugural Working Meeting, February 2020, Florida, USA.

A Global Network of International Action Teams Targeting Improvements of Resilience to Space Weather, December 2019, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting Session, San Fransisco, USA.

Uncertainty Quantification and Statistical Best Practices for Space Weather, December 2019, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting Session, San Fransisco, USA.​

Machine Learning in Heliophysics Conference, September 2019, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

Ensemble Forecasts in Space Weather: Science and Operations Workshop, September 2019, Lorentz Center Workshop, Leiden, Netherlands.

Quantifying Uncertainty in Space Weather Modeling and Forecasting December 2018, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting Session, DC, USA.

Challenges in Extreme Space Weather Research: Science, Applications, and Policies for Rare Events December 2018, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting Session, DC, USA.

Flare forecasting: where are we and where should we be going? November 2018, European Space Weather Week 15, Leuven, Belgium.​

Operations/Services Plenary Session,​ November 2018, European Space Weather Week 15, Leuven, Belgium.

The use of observations and models to improve space weather forecasting capabilities (co-convener), April 2018, European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna, Austria.

Space Weather: A Multidisciplinary Approach (session chair), September 2017, Lorentz Centre, Leiden, Netherlands.

The use of observations and models to improve space weather forecasting capabilities (co-convener), April 2017, European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna, Austria.

Solar Flare Prediction Team Working Meeting, April 2017, International CCMC-LWS Working Meeting, Cocoa Beach, Florida, USA.

FLARECAST Project First User Workshop, January 2017, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom.

Community-wide space weather scoreboards: research assessment of real-time forecasting models and techniques, November 2016, European Space Weather Week 13, Ostend, Belgium.

The 5th Bi-annual Steering Committee Meeting of the HELCATS project, November 2016, Dublin, Ireland.

Space Weather Risks and Challenges for Ireland, October 2016, Dublin, Ireland.

Solar wind initiation, evolution, and interplanetary consequences (co-convener), July, 2015, National Astronomy Meeting, Llandudno, Wales.

Posters

Murray, S. A., et al, December 2020, SunPy 2.0: the community-developed open-source solar data analysis environment for Python, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Online.

Murray, S. A., et al, July 2020, SunPy: The community-developed, free, and open-source solar data analysis environment for Python, UK Solar Physics Specialist Discussion Day, Online.

Murray, S. A., et al, July 2019, Astronomical Midlands Programme, National Astronomy Meeting, Lancaster, UK.

Murray, S. A., et al, December 2018, Fostering scientific collaboration for improved space weather forecasting: Combining the results of the EU HELCATS and FLARECAST Projects,​ American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington DC, USA.

Guerra, J. A., et al, September 2017, Modelling Ensemble Forecasts of Solar Flares, European Meteorological Society Annual Meeting , Dublin, Ireland.

Murray, S. A., et al., July 2017, Verification of flare forecasts at the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre, IAU 335: Space Weather of the Heliosphere: Processes and Forecasts , Exeter, UK.

Murrays, S. A., et al, April 2017, Connecting Coronal Mass Ejections to their Solar Active Region Sources,
European Geophysical Union Meeting 2017, Vienna, Austria.

Bothmer, V., et al, April 2017, CME Properties and Source Region Characteristics: HELCATS Results, European Geophysical Union Meeting 2017, Vienna, Austria.

Mullinix, R., et al, December 2016, Community-wide space weather Scoreboards: Facilitating the Validation of Real-time CME, Flare, and SEP Forecasts, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Fransisco, USA.

Murray, S. A., et al., November 2016, Verification of flare forecasts at the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre, European Space Weather Week 13, Ostend, Belgium

Bothmer, V., et al., November 2016, CME kinematics and solar source region characteristics – HELCATS results, European Space Weather Week 13, Ostend, Belgium.

Gallagher, P. T., et al., October 2016, Space Weather Research at Trinity College Dublin, Space Weather: Risks and Challenges for Ireland, Dublin, Ireland.

Henley, E., et al., December 2015, Verification of Space Weather Forecasts using Terrestrial Weather Approaches, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Fransisco, USA.

Murray, S. A., et al., November 2015, Flare forecasting developments at the Met Office, European Space Weather Week 12, Ostend, Belgium.

Murray, S. A., et al., November 2015, Real time forecasting methods validation with the Flare Scoreboard, European Space Weather Week 12, Ostend, Belgium.

Murray, S. A., et al., September 2014, An inclination to flaring: Active region magnetic field changes during a solar flare, European Solar Physics Meeting, Dublin, Ireland.

Murray, S. A., et al., April 2014, Assessing the performance of thermospheric modelling with data assimilation: results of the ATMOP project, Space Weather Workshop, Boulder, CO, USA.

Murray, S. A., et al., December 2013, Comparison of thermospheric data assimilation with a drag temperature model for operational nowcasting and forecasting, RAS Discussion Meeting on Space Weather, London, UK.

Henley, E., et al., November 2013, Comparison of EnOI data assimilation into two physical models of the thermosphere, European Space Weather Week 10, Antwerp, Belgium.

Murray, S. A., et al., November 2013, Comparison of thermospheric data assimilation with a drag temperature model for operational nowcasting and forecasting, European Space Weather Week 10, Antwerp, Belgium.

O’Callaghan, D., et al, July 2013, The Big, the Bad and the Ugly – Citizen scientist sunspot classification with Sunspot Zoo, UK National Astronomy Meeting, St Andrews, Scotland.

Bloomfield, D. S., et al, December 2012, A Comprehensive Overview of the 2011 June 7 Solar Storm, Solar in Sonoma: Tracing the Connections in Solar Eruptive Events, Petaluma, CA, USA.

Murray, S. A., et al., August 2012, Variation of Magnetic Field Inclination across a Magnetic Neutral Line during a Solar Flare, Hinode 6, St Andrews, Scotland.

Murray, S. A., et al., April 2012, Sunspot Magnetic Geometry and Energy Changes associated with a Solar Flare, ASGI Spring Meeting, Birr, Ireland.

Perez Suarez, D. V. D., et al., March 2012, What is the Astrophysics Research Group at TCD doing to understand Space Weather?, The Science of Weather Forecasting, Irish Meteorological Society, Dublin, Ireland.

Murray, S. A., et al., January 2012, Magnetic Geometry and Energy Changes associated with a Solar Flare,
RAS Discussion Meeting on Solar Eruptions, London, UK.

Murray, S. A., et al., September 2010, Sunspot Magnetic Field evolution over the course of a Solar Flare,
RIA Meeting: The Transient Universe, Dublin, Ireland.

Murray, S. A., et al., August 2010, Flare-Related Evolution of Sunspot 3D Magnetic Fields, IAU Symposium 273: Physics of Sun and Star Spots, Ventura, California, USA.

Theses

Murray, S.A., November 2012, Fields and Flares: Understanding the Complex Magnetic Topologies of Solar Active Regions, PhD Solar Physics, Trinity College Dublin.

Murray, S.A., June 2008, The Physics of Radio Loud Solar Flares, MSc (Dist.) Space Science, University College London.

Murray, S.A., May 2007, Tracing Particles from the Sun to the Earth’s Ionosphere, B.A. Hons. Mod. Physics and Astrophysics, Trinity College Dublin.